First CBRE

First CBRE “Market Report Student Accommodation” Proves a
Need for Investment in Germany of Up to 4.1 Billion Euro in High
Quality Student Apartments

  • Up to 47,000 additional single apart­ments required in the upper segment
  • There is a lack of higher quality apart­ments in 53 of the 61 univer­sity locations

    analysed

  • With popula­tions under 300,000, Karls­ruhe, Freiburg and Münster are the most promi­sing medium-sized cities from the perspec­tive of an investor
  • Well-known univer­sity cities such as Göttingen or Marburg fall only in the midrange
  • 26 indica­tors check invest­ment poten­tial in the location, for the first time with detailed conside­ra­tion of the univer­sity landscape

For almost 87 percent of the univer­sity locations in
Germany with over 8,000 students, there is further demand in the segment of high quality
single apart­ments alone. Accor­ding to calcu­la­tions by inter­na­tio­nally active property
consul­tancy company CBRE, there are currently around 260,000 poten­tial custo­mers for high
quality housing among the 1.85 million students who were studying at the univer­si­ties of the
61 locations inves­ti­gated during the 2011/2012 winter semester. With respect to the situa­tion
on the housing market, in a conser­va­tive calcu­la­tion, CBRE infers additional demand for
around 47,000 high quality single apart­ments. This corre­sponds to a total invest­ment volume
of up to 4.11 billion Euro – with an average apart­ment size of 25 square metres and overall
invest­ment costs of 3,500 Euro per square metre for an insti­tu­tional end investor. The stable
situa­tion on the German housing market and the conti­nuing high demand for small housing
offer excel­lent condi­tions for the invest­ment niche of student housing.

These are the results of the first “Market Report Student Accom­mo­da­tion”, which CBRE
presented yesterday together with Inter­na­tional Campus and Youniq in Frank­furt am Main.
The detailed study included all univer­sity locations with more than 8,000 students enrolled in
the 2011/2012 winter semester. 61 cities in Germany were there­fore analysed and ranked.

In addition to the housing market and socioe­co­nomic figures, for the first time, the
“2012/2013 Market Report Student Accom­mo­da­tion” has taken into account the parti­cu­larly
relevant – for the asset class of student accom­mo­da­tion – univer­sity landscape in the 144-
page analysis.

A demand analysis has been conducted for each of the indivi­dual locations: “the value added
by our market report lies in the estimate of the additional demand for high quality student
accom­mo­da­tion in a specific location. This estimate offers German and inter­na­tional
inves­tors an excel­lent guide for an invest­ment decision in the asset class of student
accom­mo­da­tion and allows direct compa­rison of all the relevant locations in Germany,”
explains Dr. Henrik Baumunk, Head of Residen­tial Valua­tion at CBRE. The highest overall
demand for additional high quality student accom­mo­da­tion – outside of the metro­po­lises – is
shown by the medium-sized cities of Darmstadt, Münster and Gießen due to their favourable
under­lying condi­tions.

The top 20 university locations
‍The top 20 univer­sity locations by calcu­lated additional demand (maximum) for high quality single apart­ments

In addition to popula­tion develo­p­ment and student numbers the figures analysed also include
details of the number of places in student halls and of the rate of place­ment in
accom­mo­da­tion in the respec­tive univer­sity location. On the level of the univer­sity landscape,
the factors taken into account include non-univer­sity facili­ties, support rate and the
availa­bi­lity of external funding. “With this study, we want to contri­bute greater trans­pa­rency in
the market for student and small housing. The forecast of the confe­rence of culture minis­ters
on first year student figures for 2012 is now already being signi­fi­cantly exceeded. We are
there­fore expec­ting growing student numbers, which will further boost demand. As such, the
demand shown by CBRE for almost 50,000 additional high quality apart­ments will see a
further signi­fi­cant increase in the coming years,” Inter­na­tional Campus AG Chairman Horst
Lieder comments on the analysis.

The CBRE “2012/2013 Market Report Student Accom­mo­da­tion” is based on exten­sive
quali­ta­tive research and numerical data available by September 2012. “No other publi­ca­tion
about the student housing market in Germany features a compa­rable level of detail. The
analysis enables decision-makers from the economy, adminis­tra­tion and politics as well as
interested members of the public to gain a compre­hen­sive overview. Thanks to the market
report, it is possible to make invest­ment decis­ions on a more founded basis and to provide
inter­na­tional inves­tors with an initial estimate of the additional demand for high quality
student apart­ments,” says Rainer Nonnengässer, Chairman of YOUNIQ AG.

Accor­ding to calcu­la­tions by CBRE, there is a need for invest­ment in additional high quality
student apart­ments in a total of 53 of the 61 univer­sity and college cities considered. The
locations with the greatest poten­tial for successful invest­ments in the long term are Munich,
Hamburg and Frank­furt am Main. Here, a strained housing market is accom­pa­nied by a low
rate of student place­ment in accom­mo­da­tion in student halls. Coupled with a relatively high
student income and stable develo­p­ment prospects for these cities, CBRE is there­fore
expec­ting continued high demand for sophisti­cated student accom­mo­da­tion.

If the univer­sity landscape category is considered on its own then Munich, Stutt­gart and
Berlin hold the top spots. In the category of under­lying socioe­co­nomic condi­tions, Munich,
Erlangen and Regens­burg are the ranking winners and in the housing market category, the
same locations as in the overall ranking are most convin­cing – only the order differs
(Hamburg 1st, Frank­furt 2nd, Munich 3rd).

In the evalua­tion of the 61 univer­sity locations examined with respect to poten­tial for
successful invest­ments in the long term, 45 locations achieve over 50 percent of the
maximum achie­vable point score. A maximum of 10 points can be awarded in the overall
ranking and in each of the three subca­te­go­ries, although the category of socioe­co­nomic
figures has a 35 percent impact, the housing market category has a 40 percent impact and
the univer­sity landscape category has a 25 percent impact on the overall result for the
respec­tive city.

Top 10 loctions with the greatest potential
‍Top 10 locations with the greatest poten­tial for successful invest­ments in the long term in high quality student apart­ments

‍

Sample calculation for Munich
Sample calcu­la­tion for Munich

Cities in northern Germany in parti­cular show deficits with respect to the under­lying
socioe­co­nomic condi­tions such as purcha­sing power and popula­tion projec­tion. Even well-
known univer­sity locations such as Göttingen and Marburg achieve only the midrange due to
their only average projec­tions in buying power and popula­tion. By contrast, many medium-
sized cities such as Karls­ruhe, Münster and Freiburg im Breisgau are of greater interest for
inves­tors because they display attrac­tive socioe­co­nomic figures and a relatively strained
housing market with no appre­ciable vacancy rate and relatively high quoted rents over the 8
Euro mark. Regional centres and medium-sized cities in Baden-Württemberg, Bavaria and
North Rhine-Westphalia are parti­cu­larly promi­sing for invol­vement in the student
accom­mo­da­tion market. In the east of Germany, Berlin, Potsdam, Dresden and Jena
likewise perform well, being placed in the upper half of the overall ranking. The relaxed
housing marke­ting in Dresden, Jena and Leipzig is princi­pally respon­sible for the fact that the
invest­ment condi­tions there are not rated more positively.

The complete “2012/2013 Market Report Student Accom­mo­da­tion” can be obtained from
CBRE for a nominal fee of 4,500 Euro. Journa­lists can request a free copy of the market
report from CBRE.

Overall result
Overall result

‍

The top 10 in the socioeconomics category
‍The top 10 in the socioe­co­no­mics category

‍

The top 10 in the housing market category
‍The top 10 in the housing market category

‍

The top 10 in the university landscape category
‍The top 10 in the univer­sity landscape category

‍

The top 15 medium-sized cities
‍The top 15 medium-sized cities (popula­tion < 300,000) and their demand for additional high quality single apart­ments

Contacts Names and Press Contacts

CBRE GmbH 

Dr Henrik Baumunk 

Managing Director/Head of Residen­tial Valua­tion 

Hausvog­tei­platz 10

D‑10117 Berlin

T: +49 30 726154–264

henrik.baumunk@cbre.com

‍

PR: ROZOK Commu­ni­ca­tion Consul­ting

Martina Rozok
Scharn­horst­straße 28

D‑10115 Berlin 

T: +49 30 4004468–1 

m@rozok.de

‍

Youniq AG

Rainer Nonnengässer 

CEO 

Eschers­heimer Landstraße 6

D‑60322 Frank­furt am Main 

T: +49 69 247472151 

rainer.nonnengaesser@youniq.de

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